Kit Klarenberg argues that Hezbollah’s battlefield resilience has derailed “Greater Israel” ambitions, exposing Israeli overreach and strategic exhaustion. “Israel’s” war reveals a recurring pattern of miscalculation, where military escalation produces diminishing returns for Tel Aviv.

On April 8th, the Zionist entity struck a demonic blow to the heart of Beirut, dropping 1,000 pound bombs in densely packed residential areas, killing untold civilians and injuring many more. One of Lebanon’s most dire mass-killings since the end of the 2024 Israeli aggression on the country, it marked the resumption of “Israel’s” avowedly genocidal invasion. With bombs raining down apace even as rare in-person talks between the pair are being carried out, Zionist Occupation Force-backed settlers are moving quickly to establish a permanent presence in the country’s south.

Whatever abrupt pause in the war on Iran is sustained by duelling blockades of the Strait Of Hormuz must be viewed in the context of the Zionist entity’s longstanding determination to annex Lebanese territory, in service of ‘Greater Israel’. Tel Aviv’s criminal incursion ignited March 16th, Orwellianly dubbed by officials a “targeted ground operation against key targets.” It was not until 10 days later that major news outlets deigned to call it an invasion. 

On March 23rd, Tel Aviv’s finance minister Bezalel Smotrich – a self-proclaimed fascist – made “Israel’s” objectives unambiguously clear. He urged the Zionist Occupation Force (ZOF) to formally annex southern Lebanon. Since then, over a million people have been displaced, thousands killed, and civilian infrastructure razed en masse. While a significant chunk of the country is now occupied, the cost for Tel Aviv was substantial. Unrelenting Hezbollah fire produced heavy casualties and record equipment and vehicle losses, including 21 Merkava main battle tanks in a single day on March 26th

On April 2nd, Israeli media openly advertised the impending ceasefire in the war on Iran. It was revealed the Zionist entity was preparing to intensify its air campaign against Lebanon, due to the enormous damage inflicted upon the ZOF by the Resistance. Tel Aviv reportedly planned to “[reduce] the current focus on Iran,” in order to support “Israeli ground forces attempting to seize Lebanese territory.” Were it not for hell being unleashed from the skies, the ZOF would currently be in big trouble.

On April 5th, the ZOF’s Northern Command chief admitted Tel Aviv had grossly overestimated damage inflicted upon Hezbollah during its October 2024 invasion of Lebanon. The entity’s political and military chiefs had long claimed the Resistance faction was obliterated by the illegal intervention. The ZOF estimated 70 – 80% of Hezbollah’s rocket capabilities were destroyed during the 2024 war. This reverie was comprehensively shattered by hundreds of the group’s projectiles targeting Tel Aviv daily, throughout the Zionist-American war on Iran.

No wonder that conflict is now on hold. Hezbollah remains a redoubtable adversary, which can independently, and in tandem with its Resistance comrades, thwart Tel Aviv’s annexation of Lebanese territory, and permanently expel Zionist settlers from northern Palestine. This wreaks havoc with “Greater Israel’s” construction, which Benjamin Netanyahu openly yearns to be his enduring political legacy, and literal ‘get out of jail free’ card. Hence, southern Lebanon must be annexed, and Hezbollah neutralised. But attempting to do so will, as before, end in fatal catastrophe.

‘Forced Expulsions’

In June 1982, Zionist militants invaded Lebanon, ostensibly to drive Palestinian freedom fighters away from the entity’s claimed northern border. Quickly, it became apparent ethnic cleansing, massacres, and land theft were the ZOF’s true goal. As a declassified July 1983 US National Intelligence Council assessment noted, ultra-Zionists then as now were calling for all-out annexation of Lebanon’s south. Which is precisely what temporarily came to pass, until Hezbollah drove the ZOF out decisively in 2000. Along the way, obvious lessons weren’t learned by Tel Aviv.

The Council correctly predicted the ZOF would create a puppet state in the south, to fulfill “some day-to-day governing tasks,” while “real power will remain in Israeli hands.” Despite judging the costs “of semi-permanent occupation” to be “not inconsequential,” they were perceived as “manageable”, due to the entity’s “proven track record” of suppressing “unrest” in territory it illegally occupies. “Forced expulsions, use of local surrogates, and ruthless counterintelligence operations” by the ZOF were forecast, which the NIC believed would negate “increasingly” hostile local opposition.

(Al Mayadeen English)